PLEION SA - Gestion De Fortune

Category: Monthly Investment Report

Monthly investment review – August

Strategy and Macro Asset Allocation Unstable equilibrium for long-term interest rates Risky assets have become expensive Currency volatility may resume Impotent monetary policy Fiscal panic? Cautious stance Granted, the worst did not happen in Osaka and trade talks have not ended yet. Central banks have shifted for some accommodation. Currency volatility and global rates are […]

Monthly investment review – June 2019

Strategy and Macro   Asset Allocation China, as the determining macro factor Come-back of (geo)politics Expect further hesitations ahead Certainly, US-China trade negotiations are crucial. Both countries need a truce – say a minimum agreement – to avoid significant negative side effects on the global economy. This has attracted the attention of the media. Nevertheless, […]

Investment review – May 2019

Strategy and Macro Asset allocation Disoriented investors barely participate in rising risky assets Rapid shift from recession to reflation mode Monetary loosening supports markets… but will not exert traction on economies   We continue to navigate the current global landscape with a full investment mode, though we pay attention to tail risks and remain focused […]

Investment Strategy – March 2019

Strategy and Macro Asset allocation We consider the global investment landscape as complex and potentially volatile. The ongoing change in liquidity regime is not over yet. Last year markets’ corrections proved valuable in a) addressing growing signs of speculation b) modifying investors’ complacent mood, namely retail ones. The central banks’ pause in its normalization process […]

Investment Strategy – February 2019

Strategy and Macro Asset allocation In 2018, lots of institutional investors have had an exaggerated reaction. Their herd mentality actually favored the continuation of carry trades during the 3 first quarters of 2018. But Q4 featured a hard landing as risk-off resurrected brutally, pushing nearly all asset classes into negative territory. Consequently, the consensus has […]

Investment Strategy – January 2019

Retrospective T4 2018 was marked by an equity market correction, particularly painful in December. The 2018 full year saw major part of asset classes delivering negative returns. Unlike other complicated years, the US Treasury Bonds and gold have played a limited role as a hedge or diversifier. Performances 2018 With the Sino-US trade war continuing, […]

Investment strategy – December 2018

Strategy and Macro US Elections In the US, this time, polls were good and reliable. We are due for cohabitation / gridlock over next two years. In principle it would spell low odds of significant changes in economic policy, which should remain supportive, but gradually less so. The good news is that overheating and a […]

Investment strategy – November 2018

STRATEGY AND MACRO Trigger, what trigger? Trump accused the Fed for having triggered Wall Street correction. This is destabilizing for professional investors. He did it a couple of times already, to preemptively appoint a culprit, ahead of an inevitable economic slowdown or of a possible market correction. This is just a new episode of his […]

Investment Strategy – September 2018

Macroeconomy Vision and pro-activity US business cycle has been particularly buoyant of late. Growth and inflation largely outperform that of developed countries. The US no longer flirts with deflation, rightly considered to be the worst evil for a democratic society. For sure, part of the momentum is due to the spectacular Trump tax stimulus. But […]

Investment Strategy – August 2018

Macroeconomy US knock-on effect The US capex cycle has experienced a low magnitude and a slow-motion recovery, considering a) the unprecedented monetary and b) latest fiscal stimulations. The US cabinet counted on a significant acceleration from 2018, following new tax incentives. But, so far, companies have rather announced intentions to increase capex spending than actually […]